Go beyond demand forecasts.
Know what to do next.
Turn demand signals, inventory conditions, and business context into actionable replenishment recommendations. We account for seasonality, festivals, growth curves, and SKU relationships to help supply-chain teams make better inventory decisions.
TRUSTED BY
94%
Stockout Risk Flagged
Potential stockout situations identified proactively
92%
Inventory Coverage
SKU-periods with sufficient projected inventory at 30- and 45-day horizons
30-45
Days Ahead
Planning horizon for replenishment decisions
₹2.4Cr
Revenue Protected
Potential revenue at risk from stockouts
Context-Aware Demand Forecasting
Our system captures seasonal patterns, festival uplifts, lunar calendars, and business growth curves to predict demand with conditional accuracy. See how events impact your SKU-level forecasts.
FESTIVAL UPLIFT MATRIX
*Illustrative dataClick a festival to see its impact on demand forecasts
CONTEXT FACTORS WE CAPTURE
Seasonality
Monthly & weekly patterns
Festivals
Diwali, Holi, Eid, Christmas
Growth Curves
Business trajectory
Lunar Calendars
Shifting festival dates
Marketing Spend
Campaigns & promotions
Company Growth
Expansion & new markets
Built for FMCG operations
Context-aware demand forecasting
Account for historical sales, seasonality, festivals and other events, business growth, product shelf life, and relationships between SKUs and categories.
Inventory risk assessment
Use projected demand and available inventory information to help identify potential shortfalls and excess inventory over relevant planning horizons.
Replenishment recommendations
Translate forecasts into suggested ordering actions that supply-chain teams can review and use.
Stateum-Apex: high-volume decision infrastructure
Operational intelligence and real-time logistics infrastructure for high-volume decision making. Generate and rank candidate actions against service-level, cash, and operational constraints, with confidence-based gating before execution. Currently in prototype.
Context-aware planning across every horizon
We study response curves for every SKU and category — how sales react to seasonality, festivals, marketing campaigns, and growth trajectories across India.
Capture your business context
Ingest historical sales, inventory positions, product attributes, and upcoming events — festivals, lunar calendars, marketing budgets, and campaign schedules.
Project across planning horizons
Generate demand and inventory projections at 7, 14, 21, 30, and 45-day horizons. Each horizon accounts for event uplifts, seasonality patterns, and business growth curves.
Evaluate scenarios, not just forecasts
Choose your planning posture: marketing push (aggressive growth), conservative (steady state), or pessimistic (account for disruptions). See how each scenario affects inventory risk and replenishment needs.
Act with confidence
Receive prioritized replenishment recommendations with uncertainty bounds. Know which SKUs need attention, by when, and under what conditions — before stockouts or excess inventory become problems.
Structured forecasting. Better-informed decisions.
Our forecasting engine combines structural state-space modeling, context-aware features, and uncertainty estimation to support operational planning. We focus on representing business context and quantifying uncertainty so that forecasts can inform decisions under real-world constraints.
92% Inventory Coverage.
Mar–Sep 2026
Tested SKU-periods across planning horizons.
92%
SKU-periods with sufficient projected inventory at 30- and 45-day horizons.
30–45 Days
Relevant planning horizons for FMCG replenishment.
This is an inventory-coverage result under the evaluation protocol, not a 92% reduction in stockouts or a 92% forecast-accuracy score.
Currently based in India • Covering Pan-India Markets
Discuss a pilot or request early access
We're currently working with select FMCG brands to validate and refine our forecasting and replenishment system.
Discuss a Pilot
Evaluate Stateum with your actual data and planning workflows.
- Live deployment with your SKUs
- 30-45 day planning horizons
- Replenishment recommendations
- Outcome measurement and validation
Request Early Access
Join the waitlist for broader availability as we expand capacity.
- Notification when slots open
- Product updates
- Early access to new capabilities
From forecasting to decision infrastructure.
Forecasting is the starting point, not the endpoint. We are developing Stateum-Apex, a high-volume decision making infrastructure for operational intelligence and real-time logistics. It generates candidate actions, evaluates them against operational objectives and constraints, ranks alternatives, and gates decisions based on uncertainty before execution. Our long-term goal is to help physical operations move from predicting what may happen to systematically deciding what to do next.
Stateum-Apex is currently in prototype.